Total Pageviews

Wednesday, 15 January 2020

WORLD BEST TRADERS

The Top 10 Traders of the World Share Their Stories and Lessons

Success in trading is not a game of luck but requires years of experience.  We have compiled a list of great tips from the top 10 investors and billionaire masterminds from around the world.

1.  Jesse Livermore

“Do not anticipate and move without market confirmation—being a little late in your trade is your insurance that you are right or wrong.”
Livermore is the author of “How to Trade in Stocks.”  In 1929, he was worth more than $100 million, which is almost $1.5 billion to $13 billion, depending on the index you use.  He is still famous in the trading chat rooms for making some of the best stock market trading decisions in the history of US Stock Market.  His fortune swelled to a whopping $100 million after he sold the stocks right before the market crashed in 1929.  His mantra was to play the market only when the factors were favorable.  He was a low-frequency player, who studied and truly understood the pulse of the market and other traders.

2.  Ed Seykota

“In order of importance to me are: (1) the long-term trend, (2) the current chart pattern, and (3) picking a good spot to buy or sell. Those are the three primary components of my trading.”
Seykota converted a meager $5,000 investment into an unbelievable $15,000,000 in his client account.  In the early 70s, he designed and standardized a commercial programmed trading system.  He was the first one to emphasize the price action patterns and chart patterns in the trade market.  Seykota’s success came from an intense focus on patterns.

3.  Richard Dennis

“Trading has taught me not to take the conventional wisdom for granted. What money I made in trading is testimony to the fact that the majority is wrong a lot of the time. The vast majority is wrong even more of the time. I’ve learned that markets, which are often just mad crowds, are often irrational; when emotionally overwrought, they’re almost always wrong.”
Dennis was the “Prince of the Pit,” who made $200 million from $1600 in a decade.  He founded the Turtle Traders, a 21 member group that went on to redefine the idea of traders.  Richard Dennis and William Eckhart appointed 21 average people and taught them the tricks of the trade. They proved to everyone that success is not something you are born with; anyone can succeed with the right training and mentors.

4.  Paul Tudor Jones

“Don’t be a hero.  Don’t have an ego.  Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good.  The second you do, you are dead.”
In 1986, Jones predicted the cataclysmic crash of the US stock market.  As a result, he made as much as $100 million from the 1987 Black Monday crash.  It is one of the largest US stock market decline in a single day.  While hundreds of people suffered from the crash of their fortunes, Tudor Jones walked away with millions in his pockets.  He offers a very realistic piece of advice to all traders—to walk away from an account that is bleeding money.  Sometimes, you’ve just got to cut your losses.

5.  George Soros

“Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected.”
Soros is the Oracle of the stock market. He invested $10 billion on single currency trade in 1992. His profit on the transaction reached an incredible $2 billion.  He is still the “man, who broke the Bank of England.”  George Soros is a great example of market iconoclasts, who are not afraid to play against the odds, even when the whole world says otherwise.  You’ve just gotta go with your gut.

6.  Jim Rogers

“Acknowledge the complexity of the world and resist the impression that you easily understand it. People are too quick to accept conventional wisdom, because it sounds basically true and it tends to be reinforced by both their peers and opinion leaders, many of whom have never looked at whether the facts support the received wisdom.”
Jim Rogers co-founded Quantum Fund with George Soros.  He has made his billion-dollar empire patience and calm decision making.  His trading principles are old school.  He does not believe it is crucial for traders to pay attention to the bulk they are trading.  It is alright to trade less than your competitors and wait for the one opportunity of a lifetime.

7.  Stanley Druckenmiller

“I believe that good investors are successful not because of their IQ, but because they have an investing discipline. But, what is more disciplined than a machine? A well-researched machine can make many average investors redundant, leaving behind only the really good human investors with exceptional intuition and skill.”
George Soros hired Druckenmiller in 1988 to take charge of the Quantum Fund from Victor Niederhoffer.  He also made over a billion dollar of profit from shorting British Pound Sterling in 1992.  He teaches the aspiring traders that it is alright to have a few losers in the portfolio.  A true trader always focuses on the overall risk to reward ratio.

8.  John Paulson

“Stock market goes up or down, and you can’t adjust your portfolio based on the whims of the market, so you have to have a strategy in a position and stay true to that strategy and not pay attention to noise that could surround any particular investment.”
John Paulson rose to fame in 2007, when he decided to bet against the mortgage-backed securities.  He made a profit of over $4 billion personally, and that convinced the world that he was one of the greatest traders in history!  Well, he wasn’t wrong.  The simplicity of his trading principle: always buy low and sell high.

9.  Ray Dalio

“I learned that if you work hard and creatively, you can have just about anything you want, but not everything you want.  Maturity is the ability to reject good alternatives in order to pursue even better ones.”
Raymond Ray Dalio is a hedge fund manager, philanthropist, and a billionaire.  He has made the 2018 top 100 world’s richest people list by making the correct investment decision every time.  According to Dalio, young traders lose money because they have “an ego sensitivity.” Trading with emotion often leads to losing trades and terrible investment decisions.

10.  Warren Buffet

“Successful Investing takes time, discipline and patience. No matter how great the talent or effort, some things just take time: You can’t produce a baby in one month by getting nine women pregnant.”
There is no top 10 investor billionaire list where Warren Buffet does not feature.  He is the “Oracle of Omaha”—one of the most successful traders of all times.  He has given away $32 billion to charity (99% of his fortune).  Buffet’s empire comes from a trading style which is all about waiting patiently for the right moment.
=====================================================

Saturday, 17 August 2019

NIFTY WEEK A HEAD....

27*2*8*19 WK
5*9*819
WK
13*16*819
WK
MARKET MOVED, LAST WEEK
1195
1183
1183
NIFTY BEES HIGH HAS NOT CROSSED PREVIOUS BUT LOW INCREASED
1144
1142
1155
LIKELY TO MOVE UP AS 3 WEEK CONSOLIDATION HAPPENED
51
41
28
THE RANGE IS  MAINTAINED DESPITE 3 DAY   ACTION
3035
2923
2917
BANK BEES  HIGHS AND LOWS ARE NOT TAKEN UP
2835
2803
2829
BUT CONSOLIDATION CAN BE SEEN
200
120
88

11311
11181
11146
NIFTY HAS TO  CROSS 11150 TO TOUCH 11230-50 RANGE
10849
10783
10902
LOW SHALL NOT FALL BELOW 10850
462
398
244

29593
28603
28358
STRUGGLING TO CROSS 28500
27936
27389
27658
UNLESS CROSS 28900 BANK NIFTY IN BEAR GRIP
1657
1214
700


THE QE/FINANCIAL  SUPPORT TO BOOST THE ECONOMY IS ON THE CARDS. THE BUDGET PROPOSALS HAS DENTED THE MARKETS TO THEIR 1st POSSIBLE LOWS.

Now markets likely to be in the range AS index MOVERS ARE IN CONSOLIDATION MODE, RELIANCE WILL BE IN A RANGE/FALL,  as AUTOs 🚗🛺🚌🏍🛵to move up and IT COUNTERS MAY SEEK LOWER LEVELS.

US AND EUROPE MARKETS ARE LIKELY TO FALL/CONSOLIDATE AS NO BIG POSITIVE TRIGGERS ARE NOT VISIBLE.

The metals may see consolidation with 5% downward risk but the future is very bright for JSW, JSPL and Tata steel.

OVERALL MARKETS WILL BE ON THE MOVE TO CROSS 1460-80-1530 RANGE IN DAYS TO COME, SO BE ON THE LONG SIDE TO AVOID BIG MISTAKES.🎈😎

Monday, 12 August 2019

LEARNINGS FROM MISTAKES....

LEARNINGS FROM MISTAKES....

May be there won't be an end to committing mistakes in markets so long one trade...

FEW QUOTES TO OBSERVE

VENI VICI VIDI  in Latin phrase "I came, saw conquered"  first used and & popularised by Julius Caesar 

The King of Macedonia " Alexander the Great" said

"There is nothing impossible to him who will try".
"I am indebted to my father for living, but to my teacher for living well".

Here one can observe that both the cases display the valour, the commitment with courage and determination to achieve along with attributing respect to persons contributed to their achievements.

Trading is no less than a war, many times one may lose some deals but ultimately what matters is SUCCESS and the money taken home.

Now the effort is to document everyday trade process and the learnings.

For more than 4 weeks, trying to list out the approach strategies for betterment, taking insights from the mistake.

During the process, developed 5 TICKS Formula for SUCCESS

1. TRADE LIKE AN OPERATOR

2 INITIATE POSITIONS LIKE A PROFESSIONAL

3 COVER POSITIONS LIKE AN EXPERT

4 KNOCK THE SCRIP (COUNTER) LIKE A CHAMPION

5 STUDY THE SCRIP LIKE A GENIUS


Sunday, 11 August 2019

WEEKLY UPDATE:05-08-19 TO 09-08-19


thanks to Chart ink- 3 yrs weekly chart


Indian indices first time after 3rd June NIFTY Top @  12103+

THEN THERE WAS A CLEAR NEGATIVE DIVERGENCE ON WEEKLY CHART ADDED WEIGHT ON THE DOWNSIDE TO TOUCH A LOW OF 10783 DURING THIS WEEK.

Now the positive sign is that the white candle has covered more than 80% of previous week range

Previous week Fall (Red candle) was 11311 to 10849 a fall range of  462 points

Current week (White candle) a rise from 10783 to 11181 range of  points 398 points

weekly average is @ 10966 and the closing base @ 10987

while the Nifty closed @11110 

The whole market is in the bear grip but the lower level bounce can be a short-term up move for lower-level consolidation. 

Saturday, 2 September 2017

Narendra Modi’s $87 billion river-linking project set to take off as floods hit India

After years of foot-dragging, the govt plans to begin work on an $87 billion scheme to connect nearly 60 rivers in the country as Narendra Modi bets on the project to end deadly floods, droughts

Mayank Bhardwaj

Large areas of eastern and north-eastern India are reeling under floods in which hundreds have died, while torrential rain also brought Mumbai to a standstill this week. The Tamil Nadu, in contrast, recently rationed drinking water due to drought. Photo: PTI
Large areas of eastern and north-eastern India are reeling under floods in which hundreds have died, while torrential rain also brought Mumbai to a standstill this week. The Tamil Nadu, in contrast, recently rationed drinking water due to drought. Photo: PTI
Daudhan: After years of foot-dragging India will begin work in around a month on an $87 billion scheme to connect some of the country’s biggest rivers, government sources say, as Prime Minister Narendra Modi bets on the ambitious project to end deadly floods and droughts.
The mammoth plan entails linking nearly 60 rivers, including the mighty Ganges, which the government hopes will cut farmers’ dependence on fickle monsoon rains by bringing millions of hectares of cultivatable land under irrigation.
In recent weeks, some parts of India and neighbouring Bangladesh and Nepal have been hit by the worst monsoon floods in years, following two years of poor rainfall.
Modi has personally pushed through clearances for the first phase of the project — which would also generate thousands of megawatts of electricity — the sources say, despite opposition from environmentalists, tiger lovers and a former royal family.
That will involve construction of a dam on the Ken river, also known as the Karnavati, in north-central India and a 22-km (14-mile) canal connecting it to the shallow Betwa.
Both rivers flow through vast swathes of Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh states, ruled by Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and the prime minister hopes the Ken-Betwa scheme will set a template for other proposed river interlinking projects, one of the sources said.
“We have got clearances in record time, with the last round of clearances coming in only this year,” Sanjeev Balyan, the junior water resources minister, told Reuters. “The Ken-Betwa interlinking tops the priority list of the government.”
Government officials say diverting water from bounteous rivers such as the Ganges, Godavari and Mahanadi to sparse waterways by building a clutch of dams and a network of canals is the only solution to floods and droughts.
But some experts say India would be better off investing in water conservation and better farm practices. Environmentalists and wildlife enthusiasts have also warned of ecological damage.
BJP states first
The 425-km (265-mile) Ken flows through a tiger reserve nestled in a verdant valley. The government plans to clear out 6.5% of the forest reserve to build the dam, relocating nearly 2,000 families from 10 remote villages.
Around half a dozen clearances, including on environmental and forest protection, have been obtained for the scheme to link the Ken and Betwa, according to two sources and documents seen by Reuters.
Modi’s cabinet is likely to give its final go-ahead for the project within a couple of weeks, sources say, after which he will flag off construction at the site about 805 km (500 miles) from New Delhi, currently marked only by rows of red concrete slabs placed on the ground.
The government is also finishing up paperwork on projects in western India linking the Par-Tapi with the Narmada and the Daman Ganga with the Pinjal. The projects involve Modi’s home state of Gujarat and neighbouring Maharashtra, which includes Mumbai, both also ruled by the BJP.
The river-linking projects was first proposed in 2002 by the last BJP-led government. Work stalled because state governments sparred over water sharing contracts and clearances got stuck in India’s notoriously ponderous bureaucracy.
This time, officials hope starting with projects that are all in BJP-ruled states will smooth negotiations.
Modi’s government is touting the linking of rivers as a panacea to the floods and droughts that plague India every year, killing hundreds of poor people and withering crops.
Large areas of eastern and north-eastern India are reeling under floods in which hundreds have died, while torrential rain also brought the commercial capital Mumbai to a standstill this week. The southern state of Tamil Nadu, in contrast, recently rationed drinking water due to drought.
Not everyone is convinced the projects should be the priority, however.
“Theoretically we can’t find fault with the plan,” said Ashok Gulati, a farm economist who has advised governments. “But spending billions of dollars in a country which wastes more water than it produces, it makes more sense to first focus on water conservation.”
India, which has 18% of the world’s population but only 4% of the usable water resources, perversely gives incentives to produce and export thirsty crops such as rice and sugar cane.
Tigers, vultures and canyons
The proposed 77-metre high (250-ft), 2-km long dam on the Ken River will submerge 9,000 hectares of mostly forest land. A big portion will come from the Panna Tiger Reserve, near the UNESCO world heritage site of Khajuraho Temple in Madhya Pradesh.
The forest reserve, a major tourist attraction, is home to 30-35 tigers and nearly 500 vultures.
“Building a dam in a reserve forest is an invitation to a grave environmental disaster,” said Shyamendra Singh, the scion of the Maharajas who ruled a princely state near Panna during the British colonial era. “It will lead to floods in the forest and drought in the downstream.”
Authorities say they have planned for the safety of tigers and vultures.
People in Daudhan village, not very far from the Gangau dam built by the British in 1915, are ambivalent. With no access to electricity and other basic services, they want more information on what they will get in return for being displaced.
“We never got to see electricity in our village,” said village elder Munna Yadav, gesticulating towards the Ken flowing a few metres from his thatched cottage. “If our children get to move out of this area and if the dam benefits everyone, we’ll not oppose it.” Reuters

Tuesday, 4 April 2017

BEST & WORST...

JOURNEY FROM SEPTEMBER 2015TO CURRENT DATE : 03-04-2017
THE BEST BUYS AND THE WORST TRAPS

1.    DISHMAN PHARMA:  FIRST IDENTIFIED AT 63-68 RANGE MISSED, LATER BOUGHT AT 118 LEVEL THAT DAY FELL TO 106 SOLD AT 114-15 LEVELS
TODAY AT @Rs 323 WITH 1:1 BONUS, ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 5.38 LAKHS

2.    KMC HOSPITALS: BOUGHT AT Rs 3.8 SOLD ARROUND RS 8 WITH IN 6 MONTHS
TODAY AT @Rs 13.5 WITH HIGH @ 16.4,; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 3.5 LAKHS

3.    RANA SUGARS BOUGHT AT 4.11 SOLD ARROUND RS 9 TO 11.2 WITH IN 6 MONTHS
TODAY AT @Rs 10.35 WITH HIGH @ 17.67,; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 2.5 LAKHS

KM SUGARS ( PERSONAL LEVEL BOUGHT AT Rs 1 TO 1.25 SOLD AT 5.37 TO 7.8 THEN AGAIN CAME DOWN TO 1.8-2.2 LEVEL NOW TOUCHED A HGH Rs 37.5 CURRENT RATE 29.3)

4.    HIMALAYA INTERNATIONAL: BOUGHT AT Rs 7.8 SOLD AT 11 & 12 
TODAY AT @Rs 29.95 WITH HIGH @ 29.95; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 3.8 LAKHS

5.    BURNPUR CEMETS: BOUGHT AT Rs 9.0 SOLD ARROUND Rs 13-14
TODAY AT @Rs 11.65 WITH HIGH @ 17.5 ; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 1.3 LAKHS

6.    UDAIPUR CEMENTS BOUGHT AT Rs 11 SOLD AT 18 
TODAY AT @Rs 34.95 WITH HIGH @ 34.95; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 3.0 LAKHS

7.    PANYAM CEMENTS BOUGHT AT Rs 58 AD AT 50 SOLD AT 67 & 72
TODAY AT @Rs 83.5 WITH HIGH @ 88.95; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 3.0 LAKHS

8.    SANGHI IND BOUGHT AT Rs 57.8 SOLD AT 62&64
TODAY AT @Rs 70.75 WITH HIGH @ 90.75; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 1.2 LAKHS

9.    RAIN INDUSTRIES BOUGHT AT Rs 27.8 SOLD AT 32 AND 34

TODAY AT @Rs 110.75 WITH HIGH @ 114.65; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 3.8 LAKHS

10.BALASORE ALLOYS BOUGHT AT Rs 24.8 SOLD AT 26.8 
TODAY AT @Rs 70.75 WITH HIGH @ 77.20,; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 3.08 LAKHS

BREXIT FEARS:

NFL BOUGHT AT Rs 27.8 SOLD AT 32.8
TODAY AT @Rs 75.5 WITH HIGH @ 80.95; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 2.8 LAKHS

HIMADRI CHEMICAL BOUGHT AT Rs 16.8 SOLD AT 24.8
TODAY AT @Rs 47.5 WITH HIGH @ 49.5; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 2.8 LAKHS

PILITALICA BOUGHT AT Rs 3.8 SOLD AT 6.8
TODAY AT @Rs 14.13 WITH HIGH @ 17.8; ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 3.68 LAKHS

DEMONITISATION FEARS:

HARISSON MALAYALAM BOUGHT 60 SOLD AT 62.8
TODAY AT @Rs 83.75 WITH HIGH @ 95.6 ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 1.4 LAKHS

JAYSREE TEA BOUGHT 106 SOLD AT 113
TODAY AT @Rs 110.0 WITH HIGH @ 121.5 ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 1.04 LAKHS

DIANA TEA BOUGHT 16.80 SOLD AT 22.8
TODAY AT @Rs 21.75 WITH HIGH @ 29.65 ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 1.3 LAKHS

GOODRICK TEA BOUGHT 176.80 SOLD AT 182.8
TODAY AT @Rs 278.60 WITH HIGH @ 306.75 ONE LAKH INVESTED NOW 1.63 LAKHS

IDENTIFIED, WAITED AND MISSED

1.    INDIA CEMENTS IDENTIFIED @ AT Rs 80.0 NOW AT 164

2.    JINDAL STAINLESS IDENTIFIED @ AT Rs 20.0 NOW AT 77 (BOOKED NOMINAL LOSS)

TEHE WORST TRAP OR BAD LUCK AVON LIFE SCIENCES BOUGHT AT 46 AGAIN AT 36 AND AGAIN AT 28 NOW AT 7.5 ONLY

THERE ARE MANY GOOD POSITIONS RUNNING AND SOME GOOD POSITIONS BOOKED….




Friday, 13 January 2017

TRADING DISORDERS

TRADING AS A PROFESSION:

Many professional experts consider "Day Trading" is an effective tool to make money on the volatility but amateur retail investors get caught on the wrong foot due to emotional imbalance and lack of understanding of the "Game Plan" involved.

The Online Trading opened many windows of opportunities to retail investors. Many traders prefer Day trading in stock markets as a profession because of the underlying opportunity to make money is huge. The online screens exhibit the trades with rise and fall of the prices in ticker and the colors that stimulate emotions to Buy or Sell instantly to grab the opportunity. The emotional "Greed and Fear" attached to the position when built, generate anxiety and turbulence in the mind and get confused to take right decisions at the right time.

COMMON TRADING DISORDERS:

The Institutional and professional investors wait for the right time to go for shopping in stock markets whose investment research enhances better decision-making process with RIGHT perspective in STOCKS that can do well in future, improve their balance sheets at revenue front & profits part and market capitalization. The Investment decisions in stock markets considered both on Scientific research and Art part is recognizing the “TIME to INVEST”. They have the holding capacity as well loss-bearing capacity and may sometimes write off the loss and search afresh in other stocks.

RETAIL TRADER CHALLENGES:

I)Revenge Trading:

Revenge Trading is a very common practice and done to make money from that counter/scrip. The force of revenge gets generated in the mind as a consequence to the loss incurred due to hasty decisions made in the market volatility. The trader gets emotional rage to the foolish position made and a humiliating failure to enjoy profits triggers retaliation. Many losers as traders do trade with induced insults met and previous wounds stored, strike back with vengeance, also addicted to trade with vigor to prove that they are right and worthy.

The traumatic losing deals are painful and hard to digest. The failure to take right decision bug the mind, pressure build beneath the layers over a period of time. The frustrated mind call for a revenge and retaliation to cover losses from that stock triggers Revenge Trading (study the “Rouge Trader”, a true story of Nick Leeson).

The human Psychology Research Institutes state that the pre-frontal cortex the amygdala responsible for emotional reactions controls the decisions that the trader makes when encountered with an emotional reaction and also regulates the anxiety that shoots up once substantial positions are taken up.

II)Coercive Trading:

Coercive Trader with animal instincts, rule the mind and heart with EGO-centric approach become blind to accept reality, do trade with little reasoning. These traders ignore the warnings, think little on what is being done at the trading, blindly build positions and their ultimate consequences are well known to many.

Most of the times, many traders who lost their control over their positions “pray for the wish” to happen and keep on buying when the price is falling and keep on selling when the prices are rising with coercive nature and argumentative mind. Any size of position against the major trend is a drop in the ocean and simply trying to demand the ticker to do the opposite never happens, seldom prayers get respected those who ignored “The Reality”. This kind of approach even ruined Jesse Livermore (the greatest trader, read the book “ The Reminiscences of a Stock Operator”)

Emotional Compulsive Trading:

Stock trading is a dangerous game for Traders with high emotional attitude get attracted to the magic of Ticker, can become a prey to the market operators. Emotionally disturbed trader lack the situational judgmental mindset, is a Noise Trader (the term first used by Fisher Black in 1986) who is also known a Idiot Trader whose decisions to buy and sell are irrational, confusing, erratic and become a compulsive trader to keep on punching BUY or SELL, doesn’t consider the direction but involves in push and pull off the volume into the system. Needless to mention the results of these traders, may not survive in trading for a long time.

UNDERSTAND GREED AND FEAR:

Professional/seasoned traders get the gut feel, place entry and exit points with a well-defined plan in tune with markets movements. The small-time retail players make their decisions based on some advice, find difficult to deal deep-rooted greed to make instant money in the volatility and fear of further loss influence their decisions but not the rationale, end up winding the capital base. These traders get success less than 5 percent but more than 90% get addicted, continue to create problems to their accounts.

Catch a ROPE:

Result Oriented Planned Efforts-ROPE for better returns as a principle for investing, a well-thought strategy. Market participants unanimously agree that TIMING the bottoms and highs in Stock-Market, a very difficult task anybody can ever achieve. So Institutional investors find their Buying Zones and Selling Zones, instead merely focus on exact right Bottom to BUY and Right High to SELL, whereas retail investors get tempted to CATCH the opposite side for quick bucks, end up in losing wealth.

CONCLUSION: Stock trading is a big opportunity to make money. By the way, understand trading disorders, risks, traps and emotions involved to manage success in stock markets.

A planned approach helps to garner the opportunity and wealth can be created as well.